Skip to main content

Free Agency Strategy

 

Free Agency is coming next week.  Understand the Eagles cap situation when evaluating Free agency acquisitions…  Some basics:

  • Unless the Eagles sign a “premier” free agent receiver, they’re likely out on DeSean Watson, probably because he refuses to waive his no-trade for Philly.  This means they would “own” the not insignificant cap hit for their premium draft picks (last year’s 15th pick represented a 4 mil cap hit in ’21). 
  • They will thus have multiple 1st round picks to sign, each currently a cap hit of around 4 million in 2022.
  • They will therefore attempt to trade at least one of these picks back to 2023, not only to stagger cap hits, but more importantly to provide “plan B” assets if Jalen Hurts is not the answer for the Birds at QB.
  • They may trade 1st round assets “back” for more 2nd day picks in this deep draft.

Eagles Lessons: When evaluating free agent activity, one must factor in the impact of draft pick salaries vis-à-vis the cap, especially when the team in question has multiple premier picks.  Also, getting one or more free agents to help attract other players (like a franchise qb) could be a strong motivating factor. 

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

When to Overpay

  Managing a football team is about allocation of resources, AND timing.   All teams can look at some of their current players and say ” Yes, we overspent to acquire him. ”   The next sentence is the critical one.   Is it “ Boy, am I glad we did ” or is it “ We need to avoid those kinds of mistakes moving forward? ” Currently, DK Metcalf is entering the final year of a rookie contract that will pay him 4M.   The 2019 2 nd rounder is 358-3170-29 (Catches-Yards-TDs) in 3 seasons on 358 targets (60% catch%).   Seattle, in rebuilding mode, will listen to offers.   “Sticker shock,” given recent critical free agent or post-trade wide receiver signings will have the Seattle brain trust consider an asking price for Metcalf (Otherwise, they’ll need to deal with the reality that Davante Adams and Tyrone Hill got near 30M/Year as 2 of a very short list of “best” NFL receivers, while Christian Kirk’s new 20M/Year contract is for a guy actually a tier below Metc...

Derek Stingley Jr.

  First round draft prospect Derek Stingley Jr. is a paradox.   The LSU cornerback had an incredible freshman season, a clear top of the 1 st round talent even that young.   But since… not so much.   A combination of injuries and COVID have forced his stock down in this year’s NFL draft. Injuries have limited him to 10 games over 2 seasons since the 15 he played his freshman year.   And based upon past performance, opposing offenses have shied away from attacking him, thus yielding less tape to evaluate: The Good (from his freshman tape): He had speed, quickness and recovery speed. He had great coverage technique in breaking with opposing receivers. He brought physicality and proper hand use in coverage. He was a playmaker… He had 6 interceptions. He was an All America cornerback in both 2019 and 2020 He’s the 2 nd highest ranked corner in this draft.   A good performance in his pro day on 4/6 could vault him to #1. The Bad: While he c...

Eagles win 2023 Draft!

  Going into this 2023 draft / RFA (Rookie Free Agency) period, this author felt the greatest needs were, ironically, the Eagles areas of greatest strength… Offensive and Defensive Lines.   Why?   In addition to the loss via 2023 Veteran Free Agency of two Pro Bowlers (Javon Hargrave at DT and Isaac Seumalo at Right Guard), simple… age.   When managing a salary cap, ya can’t keep everybody), DT Fletcher Cox, DE Brandon Graham and C Jason Kelce are likely entering their final seasons in 2023, and RT Lane Johnson appears to have just 2-3 seasons left.    These players have been extraordinary franchise cornerstones: Kelce- future HOF, Johnson can solidify that same stature over his few remaining seasons, Cox has legitimate arguments for the Hall of Fame, starting with being a member of the all-decade team of 2010-2019.   Graham, while not a Hall-Of-Famer, certainly belongs in the “Hall of Very Good” as a franchise icon including owning perhaps the great...